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Should I start or sit Daniel Lynch IV today?

Daniel Lynch IV
#41 Daniel Lynch IV
Team: Kansas City Royals
Position: P
Profile: Variable
TriSync Rating:
TriSync Level:

📢 TriSync Expert Analysis

If Daniel gets in the game, he is in a Good performance window. Historically, this points to a likely elite outing. With a Variable profile, there is some ambiguity, but there is possible value for fantasy. In a Good window (TriSync Rating >= 3.75 and < 5.55), Lynch IV has sound results. Historically, on Good days he performs much better than his Fair rated days, providing a predictable floor with upside opportunity.

PI=4.380 PIVS=2.760

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A Good window is in play for Lynch IV if he appears, and that often leads to top-tier performances. His tendency in this range points toward useful output. While the Variable profile brings doubt, the upside potential is worth noting. A Good window puts Lynch IV in a most ideal spot for solid returns. Compared to Fair days, his outcomes are stronger across the board, creating a dependable floor with some added ceiling.

PI=4.380 PIVS=3.290

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A Good window is in play for Lynch IV if he appears, and that often leads to top-tier performances. His propensity in this range points toward useful output. While the Variable profile brings risk, the maximum output is worth noting. When operating in a Good window, Daniel brings stable and workman-like output. His numbers trend above his Fair core output, offering both security and upside.

PI=4.380 PIVS=3.670

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Player Performance Cycles (30 Day Interval)

Performance Level Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Level G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating +/- 
Excellent 5 1 1 0 8.2 11 8 8 4 4 11 11.4 8.31 1.73 0.306 -18.06%
Good 43 9 9 2 139.1 136 61 53 12 47 112 7.2 3.42 1.31 0.252 +16.15%
Fair 72 8 10 0 173.2 186 98 93 30 67 137 7.1 4.82 1.46 0.274 -7.23%
Suboptimal 16 2 5 0 53.2 52 34 33 8 24 50 8.4 5.53 1.42 0.252 -5.23%

Season Stats (Last 5 Years & Current)

Season G W L SV IP H R ER HR BB K K/9IP ERA WHIP BAA Game Rating x̄
2026 12 1 0 0 12.1 5 6 3 1 3 15 10.9 2.19 0.65 0.116 4.15
2025 57 6 2 1 67.2 66 24 23 8 26 45 6.0 3.06 1.36 0.260 3.77
2024 16 2 0 1 43.1 29 17 16 6 14 39 8.1 3.32 0.99 0.188 3.90
2023 9 3 4 0 52.1 50 29 27 9 16 34 5.8 4.64 1.26 0.245 2.43
2022 27 4 13 0 131.2 155 79 75 21 52 122 8.3 5.13 1.57 0.290 2.49
2021 15 4 6 0 68.0 80 46 43 9 31 55 7.3 5.69 1.63 0.295 2.22

Individual Game Stats

Date Opponent Decision IP H R ER HR BB K TriSync Rating TriSync Level Game Rating
May 1, 2026 @SEA W 1.0 2 2 2 1 0 2 3.40 Fair 3.21
Apr 28, 2026 @ATH 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.37 Fair 3.93
Apr 25, 2026 LAA 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.12 Fair 4.08
Apr 24, 2026 LAA 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.71 Fair 4.24
Apr 20, 2026 BAL 1.1 0 1 0 0 0 2 4.72 Good 4.73
Apr 16, 2026 @DET 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1.57 Suboptimal 4.37
Apr 15, 2026 @DET 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1.29 Suboptimal 4.24
Apr 12, 2026 CWS 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.75 Fair 4.37
Apr 7, 2026 @CLE 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.83 Good 4.44
Apr 4, 2026 MIL 2.0 1 0 0 0 0 3 5.32 Good 5.01
Apr 1, 2026 MIN 1.0 1 3 1 0 3 2 3.04 Fair 2.78
Mar 30, 2026 MIN 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.64 Fair 4.37
Sep 28, 2025 @ATH W 2.1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2.47 Fair 5.83
Sep 18, 2025 SEA 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 0 4.88 Good 3.86
Sep 16, 2025 SEA 2.1 2 3 3 2 1 2 3.20 Fair 1.78
Sep 12, 2025 @PHI 2.0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1.69 Suboptimal 3.83
Sep 8, 2025 @CLE 1.2 2 1 1 0 0 3 3.03 Fair 3.91
Sep 7, 2025 MIN 0.2 1 1 1 0 2 2 3.68 Fair 3.00
Sep 5, 2025 MIN 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 0 5.10 Good 3.86
Aug 31, 2025 DET 1.1 2 0 0 0 0 1 2.59 Fair 4.14
Aug 27, 2025 @CWS 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.26 Fair 4.37
Aug 25, 2025 @CWS 2.0 3 1 1 0 0 0 4.26 Good 2.97
Aug 21, 2025 TEX 0.1 1 0 0 0 0 1 3.78 Good 4.10
Aug 20, 2025 TEX 0.2 1 1 1 0 0 0 7.28 Excellent 3.00
Aug 16, 2025 CWS W 2.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3.15 Fair 4.71
Aug 13, 2025 WSH 2.0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3.08 Fair 3.98
Aug 11, 2025 WSH W 2.0 5 2 2 1 0 2 3.37 Fair 2.97
Aug 8, 2025 @MIN 2.0 5 2 2 0 0 0 3.01 Fair 1.85
Aug 5, 2025 @BOS 1.1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.64 Fair 4.00
Aug 3, 2025 @TOR 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.14 Fair 4.37
Jul 5, 2025 @AZ 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 1 2.63 Fair 3.79
Jul 4, 2025 @AZ 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3.01 Fair 3.79
Jun 30, 2025 @SEA 2.0 3 1 1 1 1 1 5.48 Good 2.97
Jun 28, 2025 LAD 1.1 1 1 1 1 0 2 6.66 Excellent 3.71
Jun 25, 2025 TB 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 3.70 Fair 4.22
Jun 24, 2025 TB 1.0 3 1 1 0 0 1 2.83 Fair 3.07
Jun 22, 2025 @SD L 0.1 2 1 1 0 0 0 1.58 Suboptimal 2.80
Jun 21, 2025 @SD 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.47 Suboptimal 3.95
Jun 17, 2025 @TEX 1.0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4.83 Good 4.37
Jun 14, 2025 ATH 0.2 2 1 1 1 0 0 3.78 Good 2.86
Jun 11, 2025 NYY 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.67 Fair 4.37
Jun 10, 2025 NYY 1.0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2.71 Fair 4.22
Jun 6, 2025 @CWS 1.1 0 0 0 0 1 0 2.15 Fair 3.85
Jun 5, 2025 @STL 1.0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2.94 Fair 3.21
Jun 3, 2025 @STL 0.2 1 0 0 0 2 1 5.06 Good 3.57
May 30, 2025 DET 1.1 1 1 1 0 1 1 5.32 Good 3.13
May 27, 2025 CIN 2.2 3 1 1 1 1 4 3.17 Fair 3.96
May 24, 2025 @MIN L 0.1 0 1 1 0 2 0 2.39 Fair 2.52
May 21, 2025 @SF 1.2 1 0 0 0 3 2 2.27 Fair 3.77
May 19, 2025 @SF 0.1 2 1 1 0 0 0 2.39 Fair 2.80
May 18, 2025 STL 0.2 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.61 Fair 3.86
May 16, 2025 STL 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.50 Fair 4.01
May 11, 2025 BOS 0.2 1 0 0 0 1 1 3.75 Good 3.86
May 9, 2025 BOS 1.1 1 1 0 0 0 0 5.34 Good 4.00
May 5, 2025 CWS 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2.94 Fair 3.93
May 3, 2025 @BAL 2.0 1 0 0 0 1 1 2.97 Fair 4.12
May 1, 2025 @TB 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.42 Fair 4.08
Apr 24, 2025 COL 2.0 4 1 1 1 0 0 2.92 Fair 2.83
Apr 22, 2025 COL W 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2.97 Fair 4.66
Apr 20, 2025 @DET 1.0 3 1 1 0 0 0 3.23 Fair 2.78
Apr 19, 2025 @DET 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.28 Fair 3.95
Apr 16, 2025 @NYY 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.88 Fair 4.37
Apr 14, 2025 @NYY 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2.76 Fair 4.22
Apr 10, 2025 MIN W 0.2 0 0 0 0 1 2 5.55 Excellent 4.89
Apr 8, 2025 MIN SV 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.82 Good 4.54
Apr 5, 2025 BAL 1.0 0 0 0 0 2 0 6.13 Excellent 3.50
Apr 2, 2025 @MIL 1.0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2.06 Fair 4.37
Mar 31, 2025 @MIL 2.0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1.22 Suboptimal 4.42
Mar 29, 2025 CLE W 2.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.17 Fair 4.86
Sep 28, 2024 @ATL 2.0 2 0 0 0 2 3 2.49 Fair 4.27
Sep 25, 2024 @WSH W 2.2 2 0 0 0 1 2 3.81 Good 4.99
Sep 21, 2024 SF 1.2 0 0 0 0 0 3 3.87 Good 5.09
Sep 18, 2024 DET 3.1 2 0 0 0 0 4 2.97 Fair 5.43
Sep 15, 2024 @PIT 2.0 0 0 0 0 2 3 1.20 Suboptimal 4.57
Sep 13, 2024 @PIT 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 2 2.00 Fair 4.73
Sep 7, 2024 MIN W 3.0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3.97 Good 6.12
Sep 3, 2024 CLE 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.82 Fair 3.95
Sep 2, 2024 CLE 1.0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2.77 Fair 4.22
Aug 30, 2024 @HOU 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 1 3.00 Fair 4.24
Aug 26, 2024 @CLE SV 3.0 1 0 0 0 1 1 4.53 Good 4.91
Jun 12, 2024 NYY 6.2 7 6 6 3 2 3 3.73 Fair -0.54
Jun 7, 2024 SEA 4.0 6 8 8 1 4 4 1.53 Suboptimal -2.62
May 30, 2024 @MIN 5.0 5 3 2 2 0 2 3.76 Good 2.97
May 9, 2024 @LAA 2.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4.61 Good 4.27
May 5, 2024 TEX 5.0 2 0 0 0 2 6 4.01 Good 5.76
Jul 18, 2023 DET W 5.0 6 5 5 2 2 3 3.48 Fair 0.62
Jul 7, 2023 @CLE L 6.0 6 3 3 1 1 3 3.27 Fair 2.17
Jul 1, 2023 LAD W 5.0 5 3 3 0 3 4 4.63 Good 2.41
Jun 25, 2023 @TB 6.0 6 1 1 1 1 2 2.07 Fair 3.59
Jun 20, 2023 @DET W 7.0 1 0 0 0 2 2 3.82 Good 5.71
Jun 14, 2023 CIN L 7.0 7 7 7 4 2 3 2.24 Fair -1.25
Jun 9, 2023 @BAL L 6.0 8 3 3 1 1 4 2.60 Fair 2.17
Jun 3, 2023 COL L 5.0 6 5 3 0 1 7 5.20 Good 3.11
May 28, 2023 WSH 5.1 5 2 2 0 3 6 2.90 Fair 3.32
Oct 4, 2022 @CLE L 4.2 8 5 5 1 2 2 1.82 Suboptimal -0.50
Sep 28, 2022 @DET L 6.0 5 2 2 1 1 4 3.82 Good 3.45
Sep 21, 2022 MIN 4.0 4 2 1 0 1 3 2.69 Fair 3.79
Sep 15, 2022 @MIN L 5.0 7 3 3 2 2 8 3.39 Fair 2.97
Sep 9, 2022 DET L 3.2 10 6 6 2 0 4 3.50 Fair -0.67
Sep 2, 2022 @DET 5.0 5 4 4 2 3 4 1.85 Suboptimal 1.03
Aug 27, 2022 SD L 5.0 9 4 4 1 1 6 3.94 Good 1.57
Aug 22, 2022 CWS 4.2 7 3 3 0 4 0 3.22 Fair 0.16
Aug 17, 2022 @MIN L 6.0 5 4 3 1 1 2 1.91 Suboptimal 2.03
Aug 12, 2022 LAD 5.0 2 0 0 0 4 3 4.04 Good 4.27
Aug 6, 2022 BOS 6.0 7 4 4 2 0 6 2.92 Fair 2.31
Aug 1, 2022 @CWS W 5.1 6 0 0 0 0 7 4.46 Good 6.75
Jul 16, 2022 @TOR 3.2 6 3 3 0 2 5 1.79 Suboptimal 2.02
Jul 11, 2022 DET 4.0 6 3 2 0 1 3 4.09 Good 2.64
Jun 22, 2022 @LAA L 4.2 3 1 1 0 5 5 5.24 Good 3.48
Jun 17, 2022 @OAK W 5.0 4 1 1 0 2 10 5.18 Good 6.37
Jun 11, 2022 BAL L 5.1 8 4 4 1 1 7 1.35 Suboptimal 2.05
Jun 6, 2022 TOR L 5.2 6 6 6 3 2 4 3.75 Good -0.32
May 31, 2022 @CLE L 4.0 9 6 6 1 3 2 2.15 Fair -1.75
May 26, 2022 @MIN 5.1 7 2 2 0 2 6 3.20 Fair 3.32
May 20, 2022 MIN L 3.2 5 4 4 0 2 2 5.07 Good 0.52
May 15, 2022 @COL 5.1 3 0 0 0 4 4 3.51 Fair 4.49
May 8, 2022 @BAL L 3.2 4 3 2 0 4 5 3.38 Fair 2.58
May 1, 2022 NYY 5.0 4 3 3 1 1 4 4.33 Good 2.55
Apr 26, 2022 @CWS W 6.0 2 0 0 0 2 7 1.69 Suboptimal 6.88
Apr 20, 2022 MIN W 5.0 4 0 0 0 1 2 4.19 Good 5.16
Apr 12, 2022 @STL L 5.0 9 6 6 3 1 7 6.25 Excellent 0.22
Sep 29, 2021 CLE 3.0 7 4 4 0 2 2 3.76 Good 0.13
Sep 21, 2021 @CLE L 6.0 4 4 4 1 3 5 1.42 Suboptimal 1.62
Sep 16, 2021 OAK L 2.0 2 3 1 0 1 1 4.62 Good 3.11
Sep 10, 2021 @MIN 6.0 7 4 4 2 0 4 2.82 Fair 1.76
Sep 4, 2021 CWS L 2.2 5 6 6 2 3 3 2.44 Fair -1.22
Aug 28, 2021 @SEA 4.2 7 1 1 0 3 4 3.79 Good 3.19
Aug 23, 2021 @HOU W 5.0 6 1 1 0 3 5 4.03 Good 4.27
Aug 17, 2021 HOU W 7.0 4 1 1 0 3 5 2.08 Fair 4.96
Aug 10, 2021 NYY 4.2 4 3 3 1 4 6 3.65 Fair 2.20
Aug 5, 2021 @CWS W 5.0 4 1 1 1 2 7 1.93 Suboptimal 5.46
Jul 30, 2021 @TOR L 6.0 7 3 3 1 2 2 3.79 Good 1.48
Jul 25, 2021 DET W 8.0 5 0 0 0 0 4 4.20 Good 6.52
May 13, 2021 @DET L 2.2 7 4 3 0 0 4 2.56 Fair 1.97
May 8, 2021 CWS L 0.2 7 8 8 1 1 0 4.68 Good -3.52
May 3, 2021 CLE 4.2 4 3 3 0 4 3 3.59 Fair 1.37